Episode 2 · October 31, 2026 — Everybody hears about the day trader who made it. Almost nobody hears from the researchers who followed everyone who tried. Their verdict is brutal — and it's why Tom's rule is to own the market and give it time.
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In Brazil, researchers tracked every person who day traded stock futures for more than 300 days — people who stuck with it over a year. Ninety-seven percent of them lost money, and only about 1 in 200 earned more than a bank teller. In Taiwan, across fifteen years of the entire market, fewer than 1 in 100 day traders made money reliably, after fees. You've heard that 90% of day traders lose; the real research says it's worse than that.
Own the market. Give it time. Let time do the heavy lifting.
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